Difference between revisions of "ISMIP6 wiki page"

From CliC Wiki
Jump to: navigation, search
Line 1: Line 1:
 
Welcome to the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) wiki! You are encouraged to use the wiki pages to alter the formulation of numerical experiments, point out any inconsistencies or inaccuracies you find in the data sets, and post results and figures that you'd like others see and discuss. ISMIP6 also has a more official [http://www.climate-cryosphere.org/activities/targeted/ismip6 homepage], kindly hosted by CliC.
 
Welcome to the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) wiki! You are encouraged to use the wiki pages to alter the formulation of numerical experiments, point out any inconsistencies or inaccuracies you find in the data sets, and post results and figures that you'd like others see and discuss. ISMIP6 also has a more official [http://www.climate-cryosphere.org/activities/targeted/ismip6 homepage], kindly hosted by CliC.
  
 +
==What is ISMIP6?==
  
[[Image:ISMIP6_bw.png|thumb|right|260 px]]
+
The overall framework for ISMIP6 is designed to deliver projections of the ice sheet contribution to sea level rise.  Together with the proposed glacier CliC (Climate and Cryosphere) targeted activity and projections of thermal expansion (that already sit within the CMIP framework), this will allow sea level to become part of the family of variables for which CMIP can provide routine IPCC-style projections. The proposed experiments will both use and augment the CMIP6-DECK, Historical and ScenarioMIP experiments, as summarized in Table 1. ISMIP6 will use the standard CMIP AGCM and AOCGM experiments for analysis of the climate over and surrounding the ice sheets, and as forcing for the standalone ice sheet models (ISM) projections. Additional sensitivity experiments will be performed with the ISM to investigate the uncertainty associated with these projections arising from ice sheet models. The key output will be an ensemble of historical and future estimates of ice sheet contribution to sea level. To address the feedbacks introduced by interactive ice sheets, we propose that a small number of selected DECK experiments are repeated with coupled AOGCM-ISM, where the ice sheet is an interactive component of the AOGCM. Our assessment of the state of existing AOGCMs is that coupled models including an interactive Greenland ice sheet can realistically be expected for CMIP6, however including the Antarctic ice sheet remains challenging (because of the greater complexity of its response to climate forcing, and the issues associated with simulations of the Southern Ocean). It is for these reasons that ISMIP6 heavily relies on standalone ice sheet models driven offline by CMIP6 climate models for projections of sea level.
  
==What is ISMIP6?==
+
{| {{table}}
 +
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Existing CMIP exp. used by ISMIP6 (AGCM-AOGCM only, no dynamic ice sheet required)'''
 +
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''New ISMIP6 CMIP6 exp. (Coupled AOGCM-ISM)'''
 +
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Standalone ISMIP6 ice sheet model exp. (ISM only)'''
 +
|-
 +
| Pre-Industrial Control (piControl)||Pre-Industrial Control (piControlwithism) ||ISM control (piControlforcedism)
 +
|-
 +
| 1% yr CO2 to quadrupling CO2 (1pctCo2)|| 1% yr CO2 to quadrupling CO2 (1pctCo2withism)||ISM forced by 1pctCo2 (1pctCo2forcedism) for quantification of feedback
 +
|-
 +
|ScenarioMIP SSP5-8.5 up to year 2300 (ssp5-8.5) ||ScenarioMIP SSP5-8.5 up to year 2300  (ssp5-8.5withism)|| ISM for 21st century and up to 2300 sea level forced by ScenarioMIP ssp5-8.5 (ssp5-8.5forcedism)
 +
|-
 +
| AMIP simulation (amip)|| ||ISM for last few decades forced by amip (amipforcedism)
 +
|-
 +
| CMIP6 Historical Simulation (historical) || || ISM for the historical period forced by historical (historicalforcedism)
 +
|-
 +
| PMIP Last Interglacial (lastInterglacial) || || ISM for the last interglacial period forced by lastInterglacial (lastInterglacialforcedism)
 +
|-
 +
| || || Other ISMIP6 specific experiments to explore uncertainty due to ISM.
 +
 
 +
|}

Revision as of 10:45, 12 March 2015

Welcome to the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) wiki! You are encouraged to use the wiki pages to alter the formulation of numerical experiments, point out any inconsistencies or inaccuracies you find in the data sets, and post results and figures that you'd like others see and discuss. ISMIP6 also has a more official homepage, kindly hosted by CliC.

What is ISMIP6?

The overall framework for ISMIP6 is designed to deliver projections of the ice sheet contribution to sea level rise. Together with the proposed glacier CliC (Climate and Cryosphere) targeted activity and projections of thermal expansion (that already sit within the CMIP framework), this will allow sea level to become part of the family of variables for which CMIP can provide routine IPCC-style projections. The proposed experiments will both use and augment the CMIP6-DECK, Historical and ScenarioMIP experiments, as summarized in Table 1. ISMIP6 will use the standard CMIP AGCM and AOCGM experiments for analysis of the climate over and surrounding the ice sheets, and as forcing for the standalone ice sheet models (ISM) projections. Additional sensitivity experiments will be performed with the ISM to investigate the uncertainty associated with these projections arising from ice sheet models. The key output will be an ensemble of historical and future estimates of ice sheet contribution to sea level. To address the feedbacks introduced by interactive ice sheets, we propose that a small number of selected DECK experiments are repeated with coupled AOGCM-ISM, where the ice sheet is an interactive component of the AOGCM. Our assessment of the state of existing AOGCMs is that coupled models including an interactive Greenland ice sheet can realistically be expected for CMIP6, however including the Antarctic ice sheet remains challenging (because of the greater complexity of its response to climate forcing, and the issues associated with simulations of the Southern Ocean). It is for these reasons that ISMIP6 heavily relies on standalone ice sheet models driven offline by CMIP6 climate models for projections of sea level.

Existing CMIP exp. used by ISMIP6 (AGCM-AOGCM only, no dynamic ice sheet required) New ISMIP6 CMIP6 exp. (Coupled AOGCM-ISM) Standalone ISMIP6 ice sheet model exp. (ISM only)
Pre-Industrial Control (piControl) Pre-Industrial Control (piControlwithism) ISM control (piControlforcedism)
1% yr CO2 to quadrupling CO2 (1pctCo2) 1% yr CO2 to quadrupling CO2 (1pctCo2withism) ISM forced by 1pctCo2 (1pctCo2forcedism) for quantification of feedback
ScenarioMIP SSP5-8.5 up to year 2300 (ssp5-8.5) ScenarioMIP SSP5-8.5 up to year 2300 (ssp5-8.5withism) ISM for 21st century and up to 2300 sea level forced by ScenarioMIP ssp5-8.5 (ssp5-8.5forcedism)
AMIP simulation (amip) ISM for last few decades forced by amip (amipforcedism)
CMIP6 Historical Simulation (historical) ISM for the historical period forced by historical (historicalforcedism)
PMIP Last Interglacial (lastInterglacial) ISM for the last interglacial period forced by lastInterglacial (lastInterglacialforcedism)
Other ISMIP6 specific experiments to explore uncertainty due to ISM.